Outcomes of meningococcal serogroup B disease in children after implementation of routine infant 4CMenB vaccination in England: an active, prospective, national surveillance study.

BACKGROUND: In 2015, the UK included 4CMenB, a multi-component, recombinant protein-based vaccine against meningococcal serogroup B (MenB) disease, in the national infant immunisation programme. We aimed to assess the effect of 4CMenB vaccination on the severity of MenB disease presentation and outcomes. METHODS: In this active, prospective, national surveillance study, we used data from the UK Health Security Agency national surveillance of meningococcal disease. We included data from follow-up of children younger than 5 years with laboratory-confirmed MenB disease who were eligible for 4CMenB vaccination with general practice 3-6 months after disease onset. All invasive MenB isolates were tested using the Meningococcal Antigen Typing System to determine whether the isolate was potentially preventable by 4CMenB. Admission to intensive care, death, and, when possible, reported sequelae in survivors were reviewed alongside vaccine status. For the epidemiological analysis, we compared laboratory-confirmed MenB disease cases before 4CMenB implementation (Sept 1, 2010, to March 31, 2015) with those after implementation (Sept 1, 2015, to March 31, 2020). For clinical follow-up and outcomes, we included all children younger than 5 years with laboratory-confirmed MenB disease between Sept 1, 2015, and March 31, 2021. FINDINGS: Between Sept 1, 2015, and March 31, 2021, there were 371 cases of MenB disease in children younger than 5 years, including 256 (69%) in those younger than 1 year and 128 (35%) in those younger than 3 months. After the introduction of 4CMenB, the peak age of patients with MenB disease shifted from 5-6 months to 1-3 months. Overall, 108 (29%) of 371 children were too young for vaccination, unvaccinated, or developed MenB disease within 14 days of the first dose. Of 110 meningococcal strains characterised, 11 (92%) of 12 were potentially preventable by 4CMenB in unvaccinated children compared with 53 (66%) of 80 in partly vaccinated and 11 (69%) of 16 in fully vaccinated children. 78 (21%) of 371 children required intensive care, and the case fatality ratio was 5% (17 of 371), with 11 of 17 deaths occurring before 1 year of age, including seven in infants who were too young (<8 weeks) for vaccination. Of 354 survivors, 57 (16%) had 74 sequelae reported; 45 (61%) of 74 were neurological, 17 (23%) were physical, two (3%) were behavioural or psychological, and ten (14%) were other complications. Prevalence of sequelae was similar in unvaccinated (15 [15%] of 98) and vaccinated (42 [16%] 256) children, as were composite outcomes of death or sequelae, and intensive care or death or sequelae. INTERPRETATION: Cases of MenB disease in vaccine-eligible children declined after 4CMenB implementation, but morbidity in vaccinated and unvaccinated children remained unchanged, highlighting the importance of vaccination to prevent MenB disease. The lower peak age of infants with MenB disease after 4CMenB implementation, with a higher case fatality ratio in young infants, highlights the importance of timely vaccination. FUNDING: UK Health Security Agency.

Markets for Non-Timber Forest Products (NTFPs): The Role of Community-Based Tourism (CBT) in Enhancing Brazil's Sociobiodiversity

Under detailed settings, tourism can add to the material and immaterial values of the use of biodiversity, such as non-timber forest products (NTFPs) collected by traditional communities, towards sustainability in rural landscapes. A critical aspect is to effectively assess where to implement tourism modalities that enhance NTFP extractivism and reduce the emphasis on the quantities extracted (yields). Here, we map NTFP extractivism and community-based tourism initiatives in Brazil to explore local markets, use a spatially explicit modeling approach and map landscape-scale governance mechanisms to upscale where sociobiodiversity can be successfully cherished through a community-led visitation and management model. Our results show suitable large areas to upscale community-based tourism (CBT) markets for NTFP extractivism in the Amazon and Cerrado, which can be supported by available social capital and partnerships. However, there is a lack of infrastructure and institutions to support their implementation. We evidence innovative ways for enhancing the role of tourism for Brazil's sociobiodiversity and fostering transitions towards multifunctional sustainable land uses.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Bordetella pertussis infections in England.

BACKGROUND: In March 2020, England went into its first lockdown in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Restrictions eased temporarily, followed by second and third waves in October 2020 and January 2021. Recent data showed that the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in reduced transmission of some invasive diseases. We assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on pertussis incidence and on the immunisation programme in England. METHODS: We assessed trends in pertussis cases from 2012 to 2020 by age group and month. Incidence from the time that England eased its initial lockdown measures in July 2020 through to summer 2021 was calculated and the incidence rate ratios of pertussis cases from five years prior to the pandemic (July 2014 - June 2019) compared to the same time period during the pandemic (July 2020 - June 2021). Vaccine coverage estimates for pertussis containing vaccines were reviewed for the maternal and childhood programmes. RESULTS: A substantial decline in pertussis cases was observed from April 2020 onwards, marking the lowest number of cases in the last decade. Pertussis incidence dropped in all age groups, particularly among infants less than one year old (0.50 / 100,000 during July 2020 to June 2021 compared to 24.49/ 100,000 from July 2014 to June 2019). The incidence rate ratio was 0.02 (95% CI 0.01 to 0.02) for July 2014 to June 2019 (pre-pandemic) compared to the pandemic period of July 2020 to June 2021. None of the cases had a co-infection with SARS-CoV-2. Vaccine coverage for infants born between January to March 2020 with three doses of pertussis vaccine by 12 months of age decreased by 1.1% points compared to infants born between January to March 2019 (91.6% and 92.7%, respectively). Prenatal pertussis coverage for the 2020 to 2021 financial year was 2.7% points lower than the year prior to the pandemic (70.5% and 76.8%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Lockdown measures due to the COVID-19 pandemic have had a significant impact on pertussis transmission. With the easing of restrictions it is important to continue monitoring pertussis cases in England alongside coverage of the maternal and childhood immunisation programmes.

Invasive Meningococcal Disease, 2011-2020, and Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic, England.

Invasive meningococcal disease incidence in England declined from 1.93/100,000 persons (1,016 cases) in 2010-11 to 0.95/100,000 (530 cases) in 2018-19 and 0.74/100,000 in 2019-20 (419 cases). During national lockdown for the coronavirus disease pandemic (April-August 2020), incidence was 75% lower than during April-August 2019.

Evaluating the impact of a continued maternal pertussis immunisation programme in England: A modelling study and cost-effectiveness analysis.

INTRODUCTION: An unexpected resurgence of pertussis cases and infant deaths was observed in some countries that had switched to acellular pertussis vaccines in the primary immunisation schedule. In response to the outbreaks, maternal pertussis vaccination programmes in pregnant women have been adopted worldwide, including the USA in 2011 and the UK in 2012. Following the success of the programme in England, we evaluated the health and economic impact of stopping versus continuing the maternal pertussis immunisation to inform public health policy making. METHODS: We used a mathematical model to estimate the number of infant hospitalisations and deaths related to pertussis in England over 2019-2038. Losses in quality-adjusted life years, QALYs, were considered for infants (aged 0-2 months) who survived or died from pertussis, bereaved parents (of infants who died from pertussis), and women with pertussis (aged 20-44 years). Direct medical costs to the National Health Service included infant hospitalisations, maternal vaccinations, and disease in women. Costs and QALYs were discounted at 3.5%. Changes in the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, ICER, were explored in sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: The model supports continuing the maternal pertussis immunisation programme as a cost-effective intervention at an ICER of £14,500/QALY (2.5% and 97.5%-quantile: £7,300/QALY to £32,400/QALY). Stopping versus continuing the maternal programme results in an estimated mean of 972 (range 582 to 1489) versus 308 (184 to 471) infant hospitalisations annually. Results were most sensitive to the number of hospitalisations and deaths when stopping the maternal programme. At a cost-effectiveness threshold of £30,000/QALY, the probability of the maternal programme being cost-effective was 96.2%. CONCLUSION: Our findings support continuing the maternal pertussis vaccination programme as otherwise higher levels of disease activity and infant mortality are expected to return. These results have led policy makers to decide to continue the maternal programme in the UK routine immunisation schedule.

Impact of COVID-19 vaccination program on seroprevalence in blood donors in England, 2021.

The COVID-19 vaccination programme commenced in England on 8th December 2020 primarily based on age; by 7th March 2021 approximately 93% of the English population aged 70+ years had received at least 1 dose of either the Pfizer BioNTech or AstraZeneca vaccines. Using a nucleoprotein assay that detects antibodies following natural infection only and a spike assay that detects infection and vaccine-induced responses, we aim to describe the impact of vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence in English blood donors.